Turkiye’s Engagement in the Horn of Africa: Its Scenarios and Implications

Abstract

The Horn of Africa region occupies a significant position in the theatrical stage of world geopolitics. Foreign countries, both emerging regional powers and superpowers, have considered the region as a key hub for security and trade returns. Consequently, competition for the alliance has increased in the region geometrically. The recent Turkish involvement epitomized this new dynamic. Against this background, the current paper sought to explore the future of Turkiye’s position in the region in light of possible scenarios and implications. The paper highlighted that the likelihood of Turkish engagement in the region will be increased in the foreseeable future. Several factors may have determined Turkish engagement in the region. More importantly, Turkish developmental and economic aspirations, its potential to maneuver the geopolitical chessboard of the region, and the prospects placed in the Horn of Africa will affect Turkish assertive engagement in the future.