Predictors of migration decision in recent population mobility from Ankasha District, Amhara Regional State, Ethiopia

Abstract

Migration has a global impact, affecting individuals, communities, and countries. Research indicates that rural migration can enhance household livelihoods by increasing remittances and alleviating land pressure in origin areas. This study aimed to identify key factors influencing migration decisions. The study examined 740 households, randomly selected from six Kebeles in Ethiopia's Ankasha district. Both migrant-sending and non-sending households were included. Binary logistic regression analysis determined the primary predictors of migration decisions. Results showed that migration decisions were predominantly collective household choices rather than individual ones. Households with heads aged 40-49 and 30-39 were respectively 75% and 55% more likely to migrate. Female-headed households had a lower likelihood of sending migrants compared to those with male heads. Larger households were more inclined to migrate than medium and small-sized households. Furthermore, medium and high-wealth-class households were less likely to send migrants than those in the lower-wealth class. In conclusion, household composition, structure, household head's age, and economic deprivation significantly influenced migration decisions in the study area. The findings underscore the importance of further comprehensive research that considers individual and societal factors to better comprehend the complexities of migration decision-making in both origin and destination contexts.